Sunday, December 28, 2008

House Short Sale: Your Bailout Plan

By ED Knightley

"Do I really need a house short sale?" That's the first question you should ask yourself. If your way upside down on your mortgage, and you want to avoid foreclosure, read on! I'm not a real estate pro, I'm just an investor who got caught up in the same situation your in now. For me, it hurts so much more because I have so much more debt. Here's how I determined my positions:

1) Interview Realtors: Find one that you can trust who either specializes in house short sales, or has done at least 30 of them. An added bonus would be a degree in finance, such as an MBA and a real estate brokers license. The license gives them addition legal responsibility to act in your best interest. It might be wise to consult a CPA and real estate attorney as well, but it will be your realtor that creates and finishes the deal. Please make sure you don't get swindled by one the companies that asks you to send them the money up front. A legitimate realtor will pay ALL the fees including marketing costs, and get reimbursed when the lender pays the commission.

2) What's the Home Worth Today? Get a good valuation from your realtor. In reality, when you meet to talk, she should already have the comps ready to hand you. Don't waste your money on a official appraisal as it won't be used anyway. This is one situation where you want to be incredibly realistic, even pessimistic about the value, and not succumb to emotional attachment for the house. The more upside down you are in the loan, the greater chance for success in your house short sale.

3) Judgement Time: This is where you determine if you need a house short sale. Take your total loan amount, and subtract the present value of the house. Not what you think it's worth, but how much you can get for it TODAY. This is how much your "Upside Down" in the loan. Then, figure your annual expenses including a year's worth of payments, taxes, insurance, maintenance, and repairs. This is your "Yearly Cost" to keep the house. Now, take the amount your upside down and multiply it by 8%. We will assume the best case scenario. In a FAST appreciating market, this is how much your house value would go up each year, if the housing bubble was over today. (yeah right!) We'll call this number: "Appreciation per Year." Finally, divide the Upside Down amount, by Appreciation per Year. This is how many years it will take for you just to break even with the amount you owe on your loan. No profit, no realized appreciation. Compare the Number of Years to Break even with Yearly Cost to Keep the House. Can you hold out for that long? Does it still make sense to hold on? Or would letting it go make more sense?

For example: You bought a luxury condo with a $9,00,000 loan. In one year it has depreciated drastically and will sell for only $700,000. Should you put the house on the market for a short sale?

Upside Down: $800,000 - $600,000 = $200,000 Annual Costs: Includes all yearly expenses = $60,000 Appreciation: Assuming a booming market = $200,000 x .08 = $16,000

Conclusion: It will take 12.5 years of appreciation at 8% per year, just to regain the depreciation or loss of the original value. It will cost $60,000 a year for 12.5 years just to break even. Most of the accruing interest still won't have been paid off and full ownership won't be any closer after 12.5 years of suffering. In 12.5 years, $750,000 will have been paid in mortgage payments and expenses, just get back to the original loan value.

You don't have to guess what I decided to do. My numbers we're very similar to these. I know I'll take a hit on my credit, but for me, 2 -3 years to rebuild my credit is a lot better than 12.5 years of suffering. I'm going to call it quits and live to fight another day. - 15485

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